Return to Glory

Return to Glory

Friday, July 20, 2012

Realistic Expectations for Indiana Hoosiers

Sept. 1: Indiana St. WIN
Sept. 8: @Massachusetts WIN
Sept. 15: Ball St. WIN
Sept. 29: @Northwestern LOSS
Oct. 6: Michigan St. (homecoming) LOSS
Oct. 13: Ohio St. LOSS
Oct. 20: @Navy LOSS
Oct. 27: @Illinois LOSS
Nov. 3: Iowa LOSS
Nov. 10: Wisconsin LOSS
Nov. 17: @Penn St. LOSS
Nov. 23: @ Purdue LOSS

3-9 Overall Record
0-8 Big Ten Record

Over the last 4 seasons (2008 - 2011) the Indiana Hoosiers have averaged just over 3 wins per season, so my 2012 prediction falls right in line. The bottom line is that thanks to the Hoosiers the Gophers haven't been the worst Big Ten team over the past four years. The Hoosiers are coming off a terrible 1-11 year and just there doesn't appear to be a quick turnaround on the horizon. The Hoosiers have a few possible bright spots on offense in quarterback Tre Roberson and running back Stephen Houston. However, they do lose both starting tackles in Justin Pagan and Andrew McDonald who combined for 62 career starts. I don't anticipate the Hoosier offense being anything above ordinary. The real problems are on the defensive side of the ball. The Hoosiers fielded arguably the worst defense of any team in a BCS conference and they now look to replace essentially their entire linebacking corp and are still seeking a pass rush. The good news is that Indiana has some winnable non conference games against Indiana St., Massachusetts and Ball St. Keep in mind Indiana managed to lose to Ball St. and North Texas last year, so any improvement over 2011 must begin with winning some of their non conference games. The remaining non conference game is against Navy,which will probably be a loss. The bottom line is, I don't see any way that Indiana reaches a bowl, as they would likely have to win a combination of 3 games against Northwestern, Michigan St., Ohio St., Illinois, Iowa, Wisconsin, Penn St. and Purdue. Their easiest Big Ten games are essentially all road games: at Northwestern, at Illinois and at Purdue. Indiana is facing home games against Michigan St., Ohio St., Iowa, Wisconsin. When Iowa is your best chance for a home win it all adds up to a dismal 0-8 Big Ten record.

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